We said: Mainz 05 2-1 VfL Bochum
Two teams with almost identical records so far this season, Mainz will be hoping that their superior record in recent clashes gives them the edge over Bochum.
While the visitors have impressed this season, it has been at home where their points have come from, making a victory in Saturday's clash an unlikely prospect for Bochum.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 57.23%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 20.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mainz 05 in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Mainz 05.
