We said: VfL Bochum 2-0 Freiburg
Whilst the top four is an unlikely achievement for comparable minnows in German football Freiburg, they do boast pedigree in qualifying for the Europa League.
That will be the target for a high-flying Freiburg side, with Bochum's wait for a win against the team from the South likely to go on.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for VfL Bochum in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for VfL Bochum.
