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National League North | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Edgar Street Athletic Ground

Hereford
0 - 2
Curzon Ashton

FT(HT: 0-1)
Campbell (4'), Walker (80' pen.)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Curzon Ashton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hereford 0-0 Alfreton
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 4-3 Gloucester City
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 56.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 19.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Curzon Ashton win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Hereford UnitedDrawCurzon Ashton
56.91% (0.052 0.05) 23.66% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 19.43% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 48.81% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.85% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)51.14% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.01% (-0.038 -0.04)72.99% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.23% (0.0039999999999907 0)17.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.52% (0.0049999999999955 0)48.48% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.36% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)40.64% (0.080000000000005 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.76% (-0.07 -0.07)77.23% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Hereford United 56.89%
    Curzon Ashton 19.43%
    Draw 23.66%
Hereford UnitedDrawCurzon Ashton
1-0 @ 12.47% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.77% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.7% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 6.21% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.59% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 2.68% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.41%
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 56.89%
1-1 @ 11.23%
0-0 @ 7.22% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.37% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 23.66%
0-1 @ 6.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 5.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.93% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.52% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 19.43%

Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Curzon Ashton
1-3
Hereford
Peers (77')
Barnett (6', 65'), McLean (74')
Feb 22, 2022 7.45pm
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Hereford
2-2
Curzon Ashton
Gordon (9'), Owen-Evans (28')
Curran (2'), Hobson (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe392112663273675
2Chester FCChester392110861372473
3Brackley Town382251160392171
4Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster382171066313570
5Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton371981049282165
6Buxton392041565461964
7Chorley3818101059461364
8Hereford UnitedHereford391891253411263
9King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn39189124541463
10Spennymoor TownSpennymoor3715121060411957
11Darlington381512114642457
12Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports391511134944556
13South Shields39164195761-452
14Leamington FCLeamington38148164946350
15Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath381310155650649
16SouthportSouthport391211163951-1247
17Marine AFC39138183649-1347
18Alfreton TownAlfreton381210164653-746
19RadcliffeRadcliffe381110174962-1343
20Oxford CityOxford City37912164466-2239
21Needham Market3999213861-2336
22Warrington Town38612203155-2430
23Rushall Olympic3986253483-4930
24Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic3875263085-5526


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