Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 46.65%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 27.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Crawley Town in this match.