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Crawley Town
League One | Gameweek 38
Mar 22, 2025 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Crawley
1 - 0
Bristol Rovers

Doyle (19')
Barker (32'), Lo-Tutala (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Wilson (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Crawley Town and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Huddersfield 5-1 Crawley
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 5-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in League One

We said: Crawley Town 1-1 Bristol Rovers

The hosts are without a win in eight matches, while the visitors have failed to win on the road since early January, and given the reverse fixture ended in a stalemate, we expect this one to also end all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 46.65%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 27.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Crawley Town in this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawBristol Rovers
46.65% (0.0020000000000024 0) 25.44% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 27.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 52.9% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.53% (0.0010000000000048 0)50.47% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.6%72.4% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.36%21.63% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.24% (0.0020000000000024 0)54.75% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.51% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)32.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)69.02%
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 46.65%
    Bristol Rovers 27.91%
    Draw 25.43%
Crawley TownDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 10.76%
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.24%
3-1 @ 4.73%
3-0 @ 4.2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.66%
4-1 @ 1.81%
4-0 @ 1.61%
4-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 46.65%
1-1 @ 12.09%
0-0 @ 7.03% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.21%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.43%
0-1 @ 7.9% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 6.8% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.44% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 2.55% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.95%
0-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 27.91%

How you voted: Crawley vs Bristol Rovers

Crawley Town
24.1%
Draw
41.4%
Bristol Rovers
34.5%
29
Head to Head
Nov 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 16
Bristol Rovers
0-0
Crawley
Mola (59'), Sinclair (74')
Anderson (22'), Barker (66')
Dec 5, 2023 7.45pm
Second Round
Crawley
2-1
Bristol Rovers
Roles (56'), Forster (69')
Johnson (44'), Forster (90+5')
Thomas (45')
Thomas (30'), Evans (50'), Taylor (76')
Gibbons (90+4')
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
Crawley
1-0
Bristol Rovers
Nichols (74')

Evans (45+1'), Loft (89')
Mar 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Crawley
1-2
Bristol Rovers
Hessenthaler (69')
Craig (13'), Payne (45'), Tsaroulla (89')
Anderson (41'), Collins (65')
Hoole (72')
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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