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Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Lincoln
5 - 0
Bristol Rovers

Makama (31', 65', 81'), Bayliss (49'), Collins (52')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Wilson (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 1-0 Lincoln
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 3-2 Bolton
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 1-1 Bristol Rovers

With Lincoln having the freedom to push for all three points, we expect them to do just that. However, a draw would prove valuable to Bristol Rovers at this stage of the season, and an early goal could lead to the visitors defending that advantage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 62.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 14.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.8%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawBristol Rovers
62.94% (0.016999999999996 0.02) 22.33% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 14.73% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Both teams to score 43.68% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.86% (0.030000000000001 0.03)53.14% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.29% (0.026 0.03)74.71% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.63% (0.016000000000005 0.02)16.36% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.01% (0.027000000000001 0.03)45.99% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.22% (0.009999999999998 0.01)47.77% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.93% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)83.06% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 62.93%
    Bristol Rovers 14.73%
    Draw 22.33%
Lincoln CityDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 14.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 12.8%
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 7.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.71% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-0 @ 3.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.11% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-0 @ 1.27% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 62.93%
1-1 @ 10.45%
0-0 @ 7.82% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.49% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 22.33%
0-1 @ 5.78% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 3.86%
0-2 @ 2.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 14.73%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Bristol Rovers

Lincoln City
75.0%
Draw
25.0%
Bristol Rovers
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 15
Bristol Rovers
1-1
Lincoln
Forde (35')
Wilson (45+1'), Moore (48'), Martin (61'), Forde (74')
Moylan (64')
Moylan (62'), Montsma (90')
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 39
Lincoln
5-0
Bristol Rovers
O'Connor (11'), Taylor (19', 23', 55'), Hackett (81')
Erhahon (45+4'), Skubala (46'), Makama (65'), Roughan (71')
Erhahon (76')

Aguilera (85')
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Bristol Rovers
1-1
Lincoln
Grant (90+4')
Finley (42'), Vale (84')
Jackson (53')
Mitchell (45+1'), Mandroiu (66'), Smith (71')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Bristol Rovers
3-6
Lincoln
Collins (18', 65'), Loft (59')
House (7', 61'), Diamond (14' pen., 45+1', 56'), Virtue (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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