We said: Lincoln City 1-1 Bristol Rovers
With Lincoln having the freedom to push for all three points, we expect them to do just that. However, a draw would prove valuable to Bristol Rovers at this stage of the season, and an early goal could lead to the visitors defending that advantage.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 62.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 14.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.8%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.