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Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Lincoln
5 - 0
Bristol Rovers

Makama (31', 65', 81'), Bayliss (49'), Collins (52')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Wilson (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 1-0 Lincoln
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 3-2 Bolton
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 1-1 Bristol Rovers

With Lincoln having the freedom to push for all three points, we expect them to do just that. However, a draw would prove valuable to Bristol Rovers at this stage of the season, and an early goal could lead to the visitors defending that advantage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 62.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 14.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.8%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawBristol Rovers
62.94% (0.016999999999996 0.02) 22.33% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 14.73% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Both teams to score 43.68% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.86% (0.030000000000001 0.03)53.14% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.29% (0.026 0.03)74.71% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.63% (0.016000000000005 0.02)16.36% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.01% (0.027000000000001 0.03)45.99% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.22% (0.009999999999998 0.01)47.77% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.93% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)83.06% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 62.93%
    Bristol Rovers 14.73%
    Draw 22.33%
Lincoln CityDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 14.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 12.8%
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 7.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.71% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-0 @ 3.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.11% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-0 @ 1.27% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 62.93%
1-1 @ 10.45%
0-0 @ 7.82% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.49% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 22.33%
0-1 @ 5.78% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 3.86%
0-2 @ 2.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 14.73%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Bristol Rovers

Lincoln City
75.0%
Draw
25.0%
Bristol Rovers
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 15
Bristol Rovers
1-1
Lincoln
Forde (35')
Wilson (45+1'), Moore (48'), Martin (61'), Forde (74')
Moylan (64')
Moylan (62'), Montsma (90')
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 39
Lincoln
5-0
Bristol Rovers
O'Connor (11'), Taylor (19', 23', 55'), Hackett (81')
Erhahon (45+4'), Skubala (46'), Makama (65'), Roughan (71')
Erhahon (76')

Aguilera (85')
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Bristol Rovers
1-1
Lincoln
Grant (90+4')
Finley (42'), Vale (84')
Jackson (53')
Mitchell (45+1'), Mandroiu (66'), Smith (71')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Bristol Rovers
3-6
Lincoln
Collins (18', 65'), Loft (59')
House (7', 61'), Diamond (14' pen., 45+1', 56'), Virtue (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham41299373294496
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe432412769373284
3Wrexham432411860332783
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4323101060392179
5Stockport CountyStockport432212964382678
6Leyton Orient432161665461969
7Reading431912125952769
8Bolton WanderersBolton43206176364-166
9Huddersfield TownHuddersfield43197175546964
10Blackpool4216151166541263
11Lincoln CityLincoln431513155849958
12Barnsley43169186368-557
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham431510185156-555
14Exeter CityExeter431411184558-1353
15Stevenage421410183947-852
16Wigan AthleticWigan421214163639-350
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough421310196373-1049
18Mansfield TownMansfield42139205262-1048
19Northampton TownNorthampton431114184361-1847
20Burton Albion421013194459-1543
21Bristol Rovers43127244369-2643
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge43911234267-2538
23Crawley TownCrawley43910244981-3237
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury4379273772-3530


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