We said: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Bolton Wanderers
Even though Bristol Rovers are struggling at the moment, especially offensively, they could find holes in Bolton's weak defence to score a rare goal.
However, the Trotters have scored significantly more than the Gas this season, and may prove too much for Horseman's side to handle.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 52.52%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 22.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.68%) and 1-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 1-0 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.