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Championship header 2

League One
Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 43
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Bolton logo

Bristol Rovers
0 - 2
Bolton


Evans (32'), Thomas (56'), Martin (62'), Connolly (76'), Baxter (90+8'), Taylor (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Collins (52'), Morley (90+8' pen.)
Iredale (55'), Conteh (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-0 Shrewsbury
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: Bolton 5-2 Reading
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Bolton Wanderers

 Bolton may have struggled in their recent away matches, but they tend to fare well at the Memorial Stadium, and we think that the promotion-hopefuls will do enough to edge their hosts and claim three precious points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawBolton Wanderers
32.06% (-0.129 -0.13) 26.01% (-0.041 -0.04) 41.93% (0.172 0.17)
Both teams to score 53.32% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.05% (0.134 0.13)50.95% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.18% (0.119 0.12)72.82% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.23% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)29.77% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.16% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)65.84% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.93% (0.148 0.15)24.07% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.64% (0.207 0.21)58.36% (-0.203 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 32.06%
    Bolton Wanderers 41.93%
    Draw 26%
Bristol RoversDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 8.68% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.49% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.26% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.03% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.13% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 32.06%
1-1 @ 12.36% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.17% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26%
0-1 @ 10.2% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.81% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.27% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.18% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.45% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.53% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.49% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.23% (0.014 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.9% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 41.93%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Bolton

Bristol Rovers
19.0%
Draw
9.5%
Bolton Wanderers
71.4%
21
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Bolton
1-2
Bristol Rovers
Toal (84')
Forrester (45+3'), Baxter (45+5'), Dempsey (81'), Williams (88')
Santos (33')
Marquis (10'), Evans (41')
Finley (17'), Thomas (29'), Taylor (87'), Taylor (87')
May 7, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 46
Bristol Rovers
2-3
Bolton
Hoole (28'), Marquis (84')
Shoretire (24'), N'Lundulu (70'), Morley (77')
> Preview
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Bolton
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Charles (90+4')
Coburn (2')
> Preview
Jan 28, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 30
Bolton
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Murphy (82')
Darcy (24')
Clarke-Harris (63')
Upson (31'), Leahy (84')
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Bristol Rovers
0-2
Bolton

Nichols (51'), Ogogo (53')
Murphy (15'), Murphy (68')
Murphy (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030
> League One Full Table


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