

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 59.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 19.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 1-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 1-2 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
| 59.43% ( | 20.93% ( | 19.63% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.04% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.94% ( | 39.05% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.62% ( | 61.37% ( |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.17% ( | 12.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.82% ( | 39.17% ( |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.58% ( | 33.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.95% ( | 70.04% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 2-0 @ 9.04% ( 1-0 @ 8.8% ( 3-1 @ 6.78% ( 3-0 @ 6.19% ( 3-2 @ 3.72% ( 4-1 @ 3.48% ( 4-0 @ 3.18% ( 4-2 @ 1.91% ( 5-1 @ 1.43% ( 5-0 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 3.7% Total : 59.43% | 1-1 @ 9.65% ( 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0-0 @ 4.29% ( 3-3 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 20.93% | 1-2 @ 5.29% ( 0-1 @ 4.7% ( 0-2 @ 2.58% ( 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 1-3 @ 1.93% ( 0-3 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.21% Total : 19.63% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portsmouth | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 53 |
| 2 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 52 |
| 3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 51 |
| 4 | Derby CountyDerby | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 24 | 23 | 49 |
| 5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 30 | 15 | 49 |
| 6 | Barnsley | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 48 | 29 | 19 | 46 |
| 7 | Stevenage | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 46 |
| 8 | Blackpool | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 42 |
| 9 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 37 |
| 10 | Leyton Orient | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 35 |
| 11 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 34 |
| 12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 33 |
| 13 | Port Vale | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 31 |
| 14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 30 |
| 15 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 30 |
| 16 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 30 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 27 | 9 | 3 | 15 | 17 | 37 | -20 | 30 |
| 18 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 28 |
| 19 | Burton Albion | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 28 |
| 20 | Exeter CityExeter | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 26 |
| 21 | Reading | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 24 |
| 22 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 23 |
| 23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 20 |
| 24 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 23 | 47 | -24 | 18 |
| > League One Full Table | |||||||||
