Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 55.73%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 21.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 1-0 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Connah's Quay Nomads in this match.