Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 81.57%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 6.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.72%) and 1-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.87%), while for a Haverfordwest County win it was 0-1 (2.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.