MX23RW : Sunday, April 20 06:36:42| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 11
Oct 6, 2023 at 8pm UK
Park Avenue Ground

Aberystwyth
1 - 1
Connah's Quay

Owen (45+1')
Kirkman (63')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Davies (41')
Disney (71')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Haverfordwest 3-0 Aberystwyth
Saturday, September 30 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Last Game: Connah's Quay 4-2 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, September 30 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 62.86%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 16.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.4%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-0 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
16.51% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 20.63%62.86% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.88% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.1%42.9%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.7%65.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.81% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)39.19% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.1% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)75.9% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.96% (0.0040000000000049 0)13.04% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)39.6% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 16.51%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 62.85%
    Draw 20.63%
Aberystwyth TownDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 4.79% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-1 @ 4.57% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 2.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 1.43% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 16.51%
1-1 @ 9.75% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-0 @ 5.11% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.63%
0-2 @ 10.6%
0-1 @ 10.4%
1-2 @ 9.93%
0-3 @ 7.2% (0.0029999999999992 0)
1-3 @ 6.75% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-4 @ 3.67% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 3.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 3.16%
2-4 @ 1.61%
0-5 @ 1.49%
1-5 @ 1.4%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 62.85%

How you voted: Aberystwyth vs Connah's Quay

Aberystwyth Town
28.6%
Draw
14.3%
Connah's Quay Nomads
57.1%
7
Head to Head
Aug 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Connah's Quay
4-0
Aberystwyth
Williams (23', 45+1'), Bratley (29'), Davies (38' pen.)
Bratley (61'), Franklin (90+4')
Bratley (69')

Yahaya (45+3'), Darlington (76'), Cornish (90+3')
Dec 20, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Connah's Quay
3-0
Aberystwyth
Franklin (7'), Wilde (90', 90+4')
Sep 16, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 7
Aberystwyth
2-1
Connah's Quay
Arnison (54'), Thorn (82')
Litchfield (67' og.)
Apr 23, 2022 12.45pm
Gameweek 10
Aberystwyth
1-1
Connah's Quay
Allen (76')
Thorn (61')
Curran (39')
Eardley (90+2')
Dec 3, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 15
Aberystwyth
0-1
Connah's Quay

Owen (45'), Veale (52'), Franklin (57'), Rimmer (87')
Mendes (31')
Mendes (52'), Byrne (81'), Horan (87'), Poole (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints32260689315878
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont32197656322464
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest321312739261351
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon32146125351248
5Cardiff MUCardiff MU32128124346-344
6Bala TownBala Town32813113843-537
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry32157105551452
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay321261447351242
3Flint Town UnitedFlint Town32133164862-1442
4Briton Ferry3295184665-1932
5Newtown AFCNewtown3268183665-2926
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth3263232871-4321
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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