Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 59.6%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Colwyn Bay had a probability of 17.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Colwyn Bay win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.