Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 61.66%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 16.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.