Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 65.24%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 15.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.96%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-0 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.
