Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.