Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30

Apr 20, 2025 at 2pm UK

Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Lille
3 - 1
Auxerre

Meunier (9', 10'), David (43', 90+7')
Diakite (22')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Alexsandro (90+2' og.)
Jubal (47'), Massengo (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Toulouse 1-2 Lille
Saturday, April 12 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Auxerre

All competitions

Last Game: Auxerre 1-3 Lyon
Sunday, April 13 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 65.68%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 15.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 1-0 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%), while for an Auxerre win it was 1-2 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
Lille	Draw	Auxerre
65.68% ( 0.28)	18.77% ( -0.11)	15.54% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 57.25% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.89% (

0.14)

36.11% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.78% (

0.16)

58.22% (

-0.16)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.72% (

0.11)

10.28% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.34% (

0.25)

33.66% (

-0.25)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.81% (

-0.13)

36.2% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.02% (

-0.13)

72.98% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Lille 65.68%

Auxerre 15.54%

Draw 18.77%

Lille	Draw	Auxerre
2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 4.22% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.77% 4-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.01% Total : 65.68%	1-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 18.77%	1-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.31% Total : 15.54%