Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 29

Apr 12, 2025 at 6pm UK

Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)

Toulouse
1 - 2
Lille

Cresswell (42')
Cresswell (64')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Fernandez Pardo (21'), Bakker (45+4')
Alexsandro (71'), Mbappe Lottin (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions

Last Game: Marseille 3-2 Toulouse
Sunday, April 6 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Lille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lyon 2-1 Lille
Saturday, April 5 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
Toulouse	Draw	Lille
31.8% ( 0.3)	25.91% ( 0.37)	42.29% ( -0.65)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Paris Saint-Germain PSG	34	26	6	2	92	35	57	84
2	Marseille	34	20	5	9	74	47	27	65
3	Monaco Monaco	34	18	7	9	63	41	22	61
4	Nice	34	17	9	8	66	41	25	60
5	Lille	34	17	9	8	52	36	16	60
6	Lyon	34	17	6	11	65	46	19	57
7	Strasbourg Strasbourg	34	16	9	9	56	44	12	57
8	Lens	34	15	7	12	42	39	3	52
9	Brest	34	15	5	14	52	59	-7	50
10	Toulouse	34	11	9	14	44	43	1	42
11	Auxerre	34	11	9	14	48	51	-3	42
12	Rennes	34	13	2	19	51	50	1	41
13	Nantes Nantes	34	8	12	14	39	52	-13	36
14	Angers	34	10	6	18	32	53	-21	36
15	Le Havre Le Havre	34	10	4	20	40	71	-31	34
16	Reims	34	8	9	17	33	47	-14	33
R	Saint-Etienne St Etienne	34	8	6	20	39	77	-38	30
R	Montpellier HSC Montpellier	34	4	4	26	23	79	-56	16
					> Ligue 1 Full Table

Toulouse	Draw	Lille
1-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.37) 2-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.4% Total : 31.8%	1-1 @ 12.31% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.91%	0-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 8.85% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 7.31% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.24% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.94% Total : 42.29%

Ligue 1

Toulouse1 - 2Lille

The Match

Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

Lille

Data Analysis

How you voted: Toulouse vs Lille

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Toulouse
1 - 2
Lille