Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23

Feb 22, 2025 at 4pm UK

Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Lille
2 - 1
Monaco

Arnar Haraldsson (22', 42')
Andre (73'), David (73'), Fernandez Pardo (89'), Alexsandro (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Minamino (45+1')
Zakaria (19'), Diatta (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Rennes 0-2 Lille
Sunday, February 16 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Monaco

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Benfica 3-3 Monaco
Tuesday, February 18 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 57.2%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 22.02% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.78%) and 1-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (5.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lille in this match.

Result
Lille	Draw	Monaco
57.2% ( -0.16)	20.78% ( 0.13)	22.02% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 62.52% (

-0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.07% (

-0.58)

34.92% (

0.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.09% (

-0.65)

56.9% (

0.65)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.84% (

-0.23)

12.15% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.23% (

-0.48)

37.77% (

0.48)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.17% (

-0.3)

28.83% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.31% (

-0.38)

64.68% (

0.38)

Score Analysis

Lille 57.2%

Monaco 22.02%

Draw 20.78%

Lille	Draw	Monaco
2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.88% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) 4-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.58% Total : 57.2%	1-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.32% Total : 20.78%	1-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.25% Total : 22.02%