Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23

Feb 22, 2025 at 4pm UK

Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Lille
2 - 1
Monaco

Arnar Haraldsson (22', 42')
Andre (73'), David (73'), Fernandez Pardo (89'), Alexsandro (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Minamino (45+1')
Zakaria (19'), Diatta (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Rennes 0-2 Lille
Sunday, February 16 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Monaco

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Benfica 3-3 Monaco
Tuesday, February 18 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 57.2%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 22.02% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.78%) and 1-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (5.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lille in this match.

Result
Lille	Draw	Monaco
57.2% ( -0.16)	20.78% ( 0.13)	22.02% ( 0.03)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Paris Saint-Germain PSG	34	26	6	2	92	35	57	84
2	Marseille	34	20	5	9	74	47	27	65
3	Monaco Monaco	34	18	7	9	63	41	22	61
4	Nice	34	17	9	8	66	41	25	60
5	Lille	34	17	9	8	52	36	16	60
6	Lyon	34	17	6	11	65	46	19	57
7	Strasbourg Strasbourg	34	16	9	9	56	44	12	57
8	Lens	34	15	7	12	42	39	3	52
9	Brest	34	15	5	14	52	59	-7	50
10	Toulouse	34	11	9	14	44	43	1	42
11	Auxerre	34	11	9	14	48	51	-3	42
12	Rennes	34	13	2	19	51	50	1	41
13	Nantes Nantes	34	8	12	14	39	52	-13	36
14	Angers	34	10	6	18	32	53	-21	36
15	Le Havre Le Havre	34	10	4	20	40	71	-31	34
16	Reims	34	8	9	17	33	47	-14	33
R	Saint-Etienne St Etienne	34	8	6	20	39	77	-38	30
R	Montpellier HSC Montpellier	34	4	4	26	23	79	-56	16
					> Ligue 1 Full Table

Lille	Draw	Monaco
2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.88% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) 4-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.58% Total : 57.2%	1-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.32% Total : 20.78%	1-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.25% Total : 22.02%

Ligue 1

Lille2 - 1Monaco

The Match

Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

Monaco

Data Analysis

How you voted: Lille vs Monaco

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Lille
2 - 1
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