We said: Lille 1-1 Monaco
Lille are simply not winning enough games, and that has resulted in them dropping out of the top four, but they could do those hopes the world of good by claiming victory here.
Monaco will be tough opponents though, and despite having a below-par away record, Hutter's side will make this competitive, in a game that is as tough to call as the race for the top four.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 57.2%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 22.02% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.78%) and 1-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (5.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lille in this match.
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