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Lille
Coupe de France | Round of 16
Feb 4, 2025 at 6pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Lille
1 - 1
Dunkerque

Gomes (85')
Alexsandro (59'), Arnar Haraldsson (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tejan (90+5')
Sangante (59'), Senneville (76'), Tejan (90+7')
Dunkerque win 5-4 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Coupe de France clash between Lille and Dunkerque, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 4-1 St Etienne
Saturday, February 1 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lille 3-0 Dunkerque

Lille have beaten some of the top teams in Europe this season, and given their outstanding home form and attacking, we do not foresee them having trouble with a Dunkerque side that have been inconsistent domestically since the start of 2025. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 66.57%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Dunkerque had a probability of 14.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a Dunkerque win it was 0-1 (4.12%).

Result
LilleDrawDunkerque
66.57% (1.917 1.92) 19.11% (-0.957 -0.96) 14.33% (-0.958 -0.96)
Both teams to score 52.81% (0.877 0.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.63% (2.374 2.37)40.37% (-2.372 -2.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.26% (2.401 2.4)62.74% (-2.399 -2.4)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.74% (1.223 1.22)11.25% (-1.221 -1.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.16% (2.605 2.61)35.84% (-2.602 -2.6)
Dunkerque Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.51% (0.17 0.17)40.49% (-0.167 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.9% (0.153 0.15)77.1% (-0.14999999999999 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Lille 66.56%
    Dunkerque 14.33%
    Draw 19.11%
LilleDrawDunkerque
2-0 @ 10.87% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-0 @ 9.95% (-0.596 -0.6)
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-0 @ 7.92% (0.293 0.29)
3-1 @ 7.16% (0.296 0.3)
4-0 @ 4.32% (0.356 0.36)
4-1 @ 3.91% (0.338 0.34)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.148 0.15)
5-0 @ 1.89% (0.238 0.24)
4-2 @ 1.77% (0.161 0.16)
5-1 @ 1.71% (0.221 0.22)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 66.56%
1-1 @ 9% (-0.501 -0.5)
0-0 @ 4.56% (-0.515 -0.52)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 19.11%
0-1 @ 4.12% (-0.445 -0.45)
1-2 @ 4.07% (-0.206 -0.21)
0-2 @ 1.86% (-0.191 -0.19)
2-3 @ 1.34% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.23% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 14.33%

How you voted: Lille vs Dunkerque

Lille
82.8%
Draw
14.1%
Dunkerque
3.1%
64
rhs 2.0
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