Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 45.74%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.