Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 36

May 5, 2024 at 2pm UK

The American Express Community Stadium

Brighton
1 - 0
Aston Villa

Pedro (87')
Gross (49'), Adingra (63'), De Zerbi (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Cash (90+9')

The Match

Match Report

Joao Pedro scores a late winner to fire Brighton & Hove Albion to a 1-0 win over Aston Villa at the Amex Stadium.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions

Last Game: Bournemouth 3-0 Brighton
Sunday, April 28 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Aston Villa

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Aston Villa 2-4 Olympiacos
Thursday, May 2 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.93%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Aston Villa
46.41% ( 1.13)	22.75% ( -0.23)	30.83% ( -0.9)

Both teams to score 64.1% (

0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.41% (

0.68)

36.59% (

-0.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.25% (

0.74)

58.74% (

-0.74)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.77% (

0.69)

16.22% (

-0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.27% (

1.24)

45.72% (

-1.24)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.52% (

-0.19)

23.48% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.49% (

-0.29)

57.5% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion 46.41%

Aston Villa 30.83%

Draw 22.75%

Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Aston Villa
2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.54% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.1) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.69% Total : 46.41%	1-1 @ 10.03% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.75%	1-2 @ 7.27% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 5.52% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 4% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.98% Total : 30.83%