Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.64%) and 3-1 (5.11%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.
Result | ||
Bournemouth | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
41.99% (![]() | 22.32% (![]() | 35.68% (![]() |
Both teams to score 67.72% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.34% (![]() | 32.65% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.67% (![]() | 54.32% (![]() |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.65% (![]() | 16.34% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.05% (![]() | 45.94% (![]() |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.94% (![]() | 19.05% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.36% (![]() | 50.64% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Bournemouth | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2-1 @ 8.47% (![]() 1-0 @ 5.64% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.11% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.11% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.24% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.09% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.32% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.92% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.4% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 3.65% Total : 41.99% | 1-1 @ 9.35% (![]() 2-2 @ 7.02% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.11% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.34% ( ![]() Other @ 0.5% Total : 22.32% | 1-2 @ 7.75% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.16% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.28% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.28% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.88% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.37% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.78% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.61% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.98% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 2.62% Total : 35.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
2 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
3 | ![]() | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
4 | ![]() | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
2 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
3 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |