Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 32

Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK

Kenilworth Road Stadium

Luton
2 - 1
Bournemouth

Clark (73'), Morris (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Tavernier (52')

Bournemouth winger suffers injury blow in Luton Town defeat

Bournemouth winger Marcus Tavernier picks up an injury in Saturday's 2-1 defeat to Luton Town at Kenilworth Road.

Apr 7, 00:40

The Match

Match Report

Carlton Morris scores a 90th-minute winner as Luton Town hand their Premier League survival chances a major boost with a 2-1 victory over Bournemouth at Kenilworth Road.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Luton Town and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Arsenal 2-0 Luton
Wednesday, April 3 at 7.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bournemouth

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Bournemouth 1-0 Crystal Palace
Tuesday, April 2 at 7.45pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.02%) and 0-2 (5.5%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Bournemouth
33.84% ( 0.89)	22.44% ( 0.2)	43.72% ( -1.09)

Both teams to score 66.71% (

-0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.25% (

-0.66)

33.76% (

0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.41% (

-0.75)

55.59% (

0.76)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.54% (

0.15)

20.47% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.07% (

0.24)

52.94% (

-0.23)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.88% (

-0.66)

16.12% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.46% (

-1.22)

45.55% (

1.23)

Score Analysis

Luton Town 33.84%

Bournemouth 43.72%

Draw 22.44%

Luton Town	Draw	Bournemouth
2-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.98% Total : 33.84%	1-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.44%	1-2 @ 8.72% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 6.02% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 5.3% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 4.21% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 2.42% ( -0.13) 2-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.09) 3-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.76% Total : 43.72%