

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.53%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 42.29% ( | 23.83% ( | 33.88% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.5% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.42% ( | 40.58% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.04% ( | 62.96% ( |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.53% ( | 19.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |||||
| 48.67% ( | 51.33% ( |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.37% ( | 23.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |||||
| 42.27% ( | 57.73% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 2-1 @ 8.89% ( 1-0 @ 7.53% ( 2-0 @ 6.16% ( 3-1 @ 4.85% ( 3-2 @ 3.5% ( 3-0 @ 3.36% ( 4-1 @ 1.98% ( 4-2 @ 1.43% ( 4-0 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 3.23% Total : 42.29% | 1-1 @ 10.86% 2-2 @ 6.41% ( 0-0 @ 4.6% ( 3-3 @ 1.68% ( Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.83% | 1-2 @ 7.83% ( 0-1 @ 6.64% ( 0-2 @ 4.79% ( 1-3 @ 3.77% ( 2-3 @ 3.08% ( 0-3 @ 2.3% ( 1-4 @ 1.36% ( 2-4 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 3% Total : 33.88% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
| Q | | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 4 | | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
| 1 | | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 2 | | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
