

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Sheffield United | 46 | 18 | 75 | 
| 6 | Luton Town | 46 | 8 | 75 | 
| 7 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 9 | 70 | 
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Huddersfield Town | 46 | 17 | 82 | 
| 4 | Nottingham Forest | 46 | 33 | 80 | 
| 5 | Sheffield United | 46 | 18 | 75 | 
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Luton Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Nottingham Forest | 
| 39.23% | 27.85% | 32.91% | 
| Both teams to score 47.89% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 42.02% | 57.98% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 21.33% | 78.67% | 
| Luton Town Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.22% | 28.78% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.38% | 64.62% | 
| Nottingham Forest Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 67.24% | 32.75% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.68% | 69.31% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Luton Town | Draw | Nottingham Forest | 
| 1-0 @ 11.74% 2-1 @ 8.16% 2-0 @ 7.31% 3-1 @ 3.39% 3-0 @ 3.04% 3-2 @ 1.89% 4-1 @ 1.06% 4-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.7% Total : 39.23% | 1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 9.43% 2-2 @ 4.55% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.85% | 0-1 @ 10.52% 1-2 @ 7.31% 0-2 @ 5.87% 1-3 @ 2.72% 0-3 @ 2.18% 2-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.61% Total : 32.91% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leicester CityLeicester | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 7 | 19 | 33 | 
| 2 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 28 | 
| 3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 22 | 
| 4 | Preston North EndPreston | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 21 | 
| 5 | Southampton | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 | 
| 6 | Sunderland | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 19 | 
| 7 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 18 | 
| 8 | Bristol City | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 | 
| 9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 17 | 
| 10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 17 | 
| 11 | Hull City | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 17 | 
| 12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 17 | 
| 13 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 17 | 
| 14 | Millwall | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 16 | 
| 15 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 16 | 
| 16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 15 | 
| 17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 15 | 
| 18 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 14 | 
| 19 | Watford | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 13 | 
| 20 | Stoke CityStoke | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 13 | 
| 21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 12 | 
| 22 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 8 | 
| 23 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 22 | -12 | 6 | 
| 24 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 19 | -14 | 3 | 
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