

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 35.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.58%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 35.48% ( | 24.11% ( | 40.41% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.84% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.4% ( | 41.59% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36% ( | 64% ( |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.77% ( | 23.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.87% ( | 57.13% ( |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.25% ( | 20.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.61% ( | 53.38% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Perth Glory | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 2-1 @ 8.08% ( 1-0 @ 7.04% ( 2-0 @ 5.14% ( 3-1 @ 3.93% ( 3-2 @ 3.09% ( 3-0 @ 2.5% ( 4-1 @ 1.44% ( 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 4-0 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.24% Total : 35.48% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( 2-2 @ 6.35% ( 0-0 @ 4.82% ( 3-3 @ 1.62% ( Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.1% | 1-2 @ 8.7% ( 0-1 @ 7.58% ( 0-2 @ 5.96% ( 1-3 @ 4.56% ( 2-3 @ 3.33% ( 0-3 @ 3.12% ( 1-4 @ 1.79% ( 2-4 @ 1.31% ( 0-4 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 2.83% Total : 40.41% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 4 |
| 3 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Macarthur | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 |
| 8 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 |
| 9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 1 |
| 10 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
| 12 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
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