

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 57.86%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 21.13% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.37%) and 1-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (5.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sydney FC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sydney FC.
| Result | ||
| Sydney FC | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 57.86% ( | 21.02% ( | 21.13% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.27% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.73% ( | 37.27% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.53% ( | 59.48% ( |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.28% ( | 12.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 61.06% ( | 38.94% ( |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.05% ( | 30.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.75% ( | 67.25% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sydney FC | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 2-0 @ 8.37% ( 1-0 @ 8.12% ( 3-1 @ 6.75% ( 3-0 @ 5.75% ( 3-2 @ 3.96% ( 4-1 @ 3.48% ( 4-0 @ 2.97% ( 4-2 @ 2.04% ( 5-1 @ 1.44% ( 5-0 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 3.95% Total : 57.86% | 1-1 @ 9.52% ( 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0-0 @ 3.94% ( 3-3 @ 1.55% ( Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.02% | 1-2 @ 5.58% ( 0-1 @ 4.62% ( 0-2 @ 2.71% ( 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 1-3 @ 2.18% ( 0-3 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.73% Total : 21.13% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 61 | 32 | 29 | 55 |
| 2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 44 |
| 3 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 42 |
| 4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 41 |
| 5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 38 |
| 6 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 35 |
| 7 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 32 |
| 8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 30 |
| 9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 29 |
| 10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 29 |
| 11 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 28 |
| 12 | Macarthur | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 26 |
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