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Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
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Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
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Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Newcastle Jets
Australian A-League | Gameweek 24
Apr 14, 2023 at 10.45am UK
McDonald Jones Stadium
Macarthur

Newcastle Jets
2 - 1
Macarthur

Jurman (79'), O'Neill (90+5')
Aquilina (5'), Piscopo (9'), Jurman (28')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Arabuli (90+2')
Jones (37'), Skotadis (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Macarthur, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle Jets

All competitions
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 3-0 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, April 8 at 8am in Australian A-League

Macarthur

All competitions
Last Game: Macarthur 2-2 Western Sydney
Saturday, April 8 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

We said: Newcastle Jets 1-2 Macarthur

 Both sides are struggling for form and in the midst of winless runs, but Macarthur's display against Western Sydney Wanderers was encouraging, and we back them to come out on top this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 52.44%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 25.62% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.42%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Newcastle Jets in this match.

Result
Newcastle JetsDrawMacarthur
52.44% (-0.101 -0.1) 21.94% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 25.62% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 62.82% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.51% (0.041000000000004 0.04)36.49% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.37% (0.044000000000004 0.04)58.63% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.89% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)14.11% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.26% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)41.74% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.14% (0.088999999999999 0.09)26.86% (-0.09 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.83% (0.115 0.12)62.17% (-0.116 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle Jets 52.44%
    Macarthur 25.62%
    Draw 21.94%
Newcastle JetsDrawMacarthur
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.42% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.27% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.24% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.74% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 3.05% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.32% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.01% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-1 @ 1.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 52.44%
1-1 @ 9.76% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 6.28% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.79% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.8% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 21.94%
1-2 @ 6.41% (0.015 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.27% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.81% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.75% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.44% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.007 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.9% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 25.62%

How you voted: Newcastle Jets vs Macarthur

Newcastle Jets
28.6%
Draw
7.1%
Macarthur
64.3%
28
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 7am
Macarthur
0-1
Newcastle Jets

Susnjar (83')
Buhagiar (8')
Ingham (44'), Al-Taay (53'), Duncan (76')
Jan 8, 2023 4am
Macarthur
2-0
Newcastle Jets
Toure (43'), Davila (78')
Millar (34'), M'Mombwa (41'), Kurto (45'), Carter (88')

Timmins (32'), Al-Taay (60')
May 1, 2022 7.05am
Macarthur
0-3
Newcastle Jets

De Silva (3'), Noone (84')
Siatravanis (4'), Yuel (66'), Mikeltadze (73')
Thurgate (34')
Feb 26, 2022 6.05am
Newcastle Jets
2-2
Macarthur
Mikeltadze (32' pen.), Babalj (79')
Hoffman (25'), Ingham (47')
Uskok (21'), Oar (60')
Uskok (12'), Rose (26'), Oar (53'), Ruhs (90+4')
Dec 19, 2021 5.05am
Macarthur
2-1
Newcastle Jets
De Silva (48'), Meredith (84')
Noone (38'), M'Mombwa (45+2'), Uskok (51'), Najjar (78'), Rose (90+1')
Kurto (18')
Mikeltadze (35')
Mikeltadze (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Auckland FC20126239201942
2Western UnitedWestern Utd21115546301638
3Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney20104647341334
4Melbourne CityMelbourne City2010462718934
5Melbourne VictoryVictory219663327633
6Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United209654340333
7Sydney FCSydney FC2086642311130
8Macarthur228594137429
9Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets217593337-426
10Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast2141072339-1622
11Wellington PhoenixWellington2055101931-1220
12Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar1925122338-1511
13Perth GloryPerth Glory2125141448-3411
> Australian A-League Full Table


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