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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 8
Mar 28, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Jenner Park
Newtown logo

Barry
2 - 1
Newtown

Hulbert (19'), Kavanagh (57')
Armstrong (86'), Hulbert (90+5'), Kavanagh (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Williams (90')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Barry Town United and Newtown AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Flint Town 3-2 Barry
Saturday, March 22 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 2-3 Connah's Quay
Friday, March 21 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 42.38%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barry Town United would win this match.

Result
Barry Town UnitedDrawNewtown AFC
42.38% (-0.105 -0.11) 25.33% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 32.3% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Both teams to score 55.67% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.05% (-0.064 -0.06)47.96% (0.068999999999996 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.87% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)70.13% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Barry Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.46% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)22.55% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.87% (-0.116 -0.12)56.13% (0.12 0.12)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.87% (0.024000000000001 0.02)28.13% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.19% (0.029000000000003 0.03)63.81% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Barry Town United 42.38%
    Newtown AFC 32.3%
    Draw 25.32%
Barry Town UnitedDrawNewtown AFC
1-0 @ 9.45% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 8.93% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.04% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.43% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.49% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.65% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.3% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 42.38%
1-1 @ 11.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.34% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.32%
0-1 @ 8.04% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.6% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.1% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.21% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.39%
0-3 @ 2.16% (0.01 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 32.3%

Head to Head
Feb 8, 2025 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Newtown
1-1
Barry
Williams (69')
Hulbert (15')
Yorwerth (82'), Yorwerth (89')
Oct 15, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Newtown
2-4
Barry
Williams (11'), Sutton (44' og.)
Hulbert (53'), Bright (58'), Snaith (69'), Patten (80')
Margetson (32'), Patten (73')
Aug 26, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Barry
1-2
Newtown
Patten (1')
Sainty (24'), Richards (59')
Williams (10', 49')
Pryce (90+2')
Jan 6, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 19
Barry
4-0
Newtown
Blythe (19', 42'), Snaith (59'), Hulbert (71')
Patten (83')

Mills-Evans (50'), Smith (58'), Robles (81')
Sep 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Newtown
2-0
Barry
Williams (1', 76')
Hughes (7'), Robles (68'), Sutton (69'), Sears (85')

McDonald (25'), Bright (43'), Press (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints32260689315878
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont32197656322464
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest321312739261351
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon32146125351248
5Cardiff MUCardiff MU32128124346-344
6Bala TownBala Town32813113843-537
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry32157105551452
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay321261447351242
3Flint Town UnitedFlint Town32133164862-1442
4Briton Ferry3295184665-1932
5Newtown AFCNewtown3268183665-2926
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth3263232871-4321
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514


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