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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Feb 22, 2025 at 12.15pm UK
Park Avenue Ground
Newtown logo

Aberystwyth
0 - 1
Newtown


Flint (37'), Thorn (45+2'), Evans (78'), Davies (83')
Thorn (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Oswell (75')
Oswell (7')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Newtown AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Flint Town 2-0 Aberystwyth
Friday, February 7 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Newtown 1-1 Barry
Saturday, February 8 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 47.32%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-0 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Newtown AFC in this match.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawNewtown AFC
27.55% (0.065000000000001 0.07) 25.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 47.32% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Both teams to score 53.61% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.58% (0.061 0.06)49.42% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.54% (0.055 0.05)71.46% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.78% (0.082000000000008 0.08)32.21% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.29% (0.093 0.09)68.71% (-0.091000000000008 -0.09)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.09%20.91% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.36% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)53.63% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 27.55%
    Newtown AFC 47.31%
    Draw 25.13%
Aberystwyth TownDrawNewtown AFC
1-0 @ 7.63% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-1 @ 6.76% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.32% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.55% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.63% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 27.55%
1-1 @ 11.94%
0-0 @ 6.74% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 10.54% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 8.25% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.87% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 4.3% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.76% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.91%
0-4 @ 1.68% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.08% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 47.31%

Head to Head
Nov 8, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Aberystwyth
3-1
Newtown
Flint (13'), Patterson (29'), Evans (83')
Flint (72'), Bradford (76')
Lock (66')
Roberts (52'), Williams (71'), Oswell (78')
Aug 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Newtown
4-1
Aberystwyth
Oswell (50', 70'), Roberts (68'), Lock (77')
Roberts (25'), Lock (51')
Evans (45+2')
Evans (40'), Lewis (40')
Nov 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 13
Aberystwyth
0-1
Newtown

Davies (67')
Jones (80')
Wycherley (77')
Aug 26, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 3
Newtown
0-0
Aberystwyth
Ismail (33'), Sears (83'), Evans (90+3')
Walsh (90+3'), Walsh (90+5')
Dec 30, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 21
Newtown
6-1
Aberystwyth
Flint (14' og.), Williams (51' pen.), Aris (54', 63'), Rushton (56', 73')
Evans (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints32260689315878
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont32197656322464
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest321312739261351
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon32146125351248
5Cardiff MUCardiff MU32128124346-344
6Bala TownBala Town32813113843-537
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry32157105551452
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay321261447351242
3Flint Town UnitedFlint Town32133164862-1442
4Briton Ferry3295184665-1932
5Newtown AFCNewtown3268183665-2926
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth3263232871-4321
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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