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Women's Super League | Gameweek 19
Apr 20, 2025 at 2pm UK
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Spurs
2 - 3
Aston Villa

Naz (65'), Morris (70')
Summanen (66'), Spence (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Patten (30'), Salmon (56'), Hanson (90+1')
Parker (38'), Pacheco (60'), Staniforth (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Tottenham Hotspur Women and Aston Villa Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leicester 1-1 Spurs
Sunday, March 30 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Liverpool 1-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, March 30 at 2pm in Women's Super League

We said: Tottenham Hotspur Women 1-2 Aston Villa Women

Aston Villa would have taken immense confidence from their much-needed win over Liverpool, and we think that they will build upon that result by claiming a narrow win in Sunday's away fixture, especially as they are facing a Tottenham side that have lost each of their last four competitive home matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur Women had a probability of 36.81% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.28%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur Women win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa Women would win this match.

Result
Tottenham Hotspur WomenDrawAston Villa Women
36.81% (-0.12 -0.12) 24.97% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 38.21% (0.13200000000001 0.13)
Both teams to score 57.86% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.48% (0.057000000000002 0.06)45.52% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.15% (0.054000000000002 0.05)67.85% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Tottenham Hotspur Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.7% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)24.3% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.32% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)58.68% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.44% (0.093999999999994 0.09)23.56% (-0.096 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.38% (0.136 0.14)57.61% (-0.138 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Tottenham Hotspur Women 36.81%
    Aston Villa Women 38.21%
    Draw 24.96%
Tottenham Hotspur WomenDrawAston Villa Women
2-1 @ 8.28% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.1% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.73% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.91% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.7% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.38% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 0.96% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 36.81%
1-1 @ 11.7% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.99% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.72% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.96%
1-2 @ 8.46% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-1 @ 8.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.98% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.08% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.89% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.88% (0.017 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.47% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.04% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.04% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 38.21%

Head to Head
Sep 29, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 2
Aston Villa
2-2
Spurs
Leon (78'), Daly (88')
Summanen (23' pen.), England (90+5')
Summanen (75')
Feb 18, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 14
Spurs
1-2
Aston Villa
Turner (38')
Bartrip (90+5')
Leon (23'), Nobbs (60')
Leon (56'), Hanson (62'), Nobbs (81'), Maritz (90+2')
Oct 21, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 4
Aston Villa
2-4
Spurs
Daly (5' pen.), Parker (90+6')
Corsie (76')
Thomas (33', 64', 72'), Neville (45+5')
Thomas (67')
Apr 23, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 18
Spurs
3-3
Aston Villa
Summanen (27', 46'), England (59')
Hanson (9'), Daly (21', 84')
Jan 14, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 11
Aston Villa
2-1
Spurs
Dali (34'), Daly (38')
England (28')
rhs 2.0
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