MX23RW : Wednesday, April 30 07:37:12| >> :300:86500:86500:
Women's Super League | Gameweek 20
Apr 30, 2025 at 6pm UK
Villa Park

Aston Villa
vs.
Arsenal

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's Super League clash between Aston Villa Women and Arsenal Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spurs 2-3 Aston Villa
Sunday, April 20 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Lyon 1-4 Arsenal
Sunday, April 27 at 5pm in Women's Champions League

We say: Aston Villa Women 1-3 Arsenal Women

Arsenal's main focus may be on next month's UWCL final, but they will be keen to build momentum ahead of the showdown in Lisbon, and with that in mind, we think that the Gunners will do enough to claim an eighth consecutive victory in Wednesday's fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 72.13%. A draw has a probability of 15.3% and a win for Aston Villa Women has a probability of 12.54%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-3 (8.12%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (6.38%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it is 2-1 (3.51%).

Result
Aston Villa WomenDrawArsenal Women
12.54% (0.803 0.8) 15.33% (0.17 0.17) 72.13% (-0.98 -0.98)
Both teams to score 62.57% (2.191 2.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.16% (1.415 1.41)25.83% (-1.422 -1.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.99% (1.804 1.8)46% (-1.81 -1.81)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.77% (2.234 2.23)33.22% (-2.24 -2.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.16% (2.388 2.39)69.83% (-2.395 -2.4)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.69% (0.145 0.14)6.3% (-0.152 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.27% (0.411 0.41)23.72% (-0.417 -0.42)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa Women 12.54%
    Arsenal Women 72.13%
    Draw 15.33%
Aston Villa WomenDrawArsenal Women
2-1 @ 3.51% (0.144 0.14)
1-0 @ 2.31% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.78% (0.188 0.19)
3-1 @ 1.29% (0.126 0.13)
2-0 @ 1.27% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 12.54%
1-1 @ 6.38% (-0.124 -0.12)
2-2 @ 4.86% (0.239 0.24)
0-0 @ 2.09% (-0.195 -0.2)
3-3 @ 1.64% (0.186 0.19)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 15.33%
1-2 @ 8.81% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
1-3 @ 8.12% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8% (-0.595 -0.6)
0-3 @ 7.37% (-0.48 -0.48)
0-1 @ 5.79% (-0.484 -0.48)
1-4 @ 5.61% (0.036 0.04)
0-4 @ 5.09% (-0.285 -0.28)
2-3 @ 4.48% (0.256 0.26)
1-5 @ 3.1% (0.047 0.05)
2-4 @ 3.09% (0.202 0.2)
0-5 @ 2.82% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-5 @ 1.71% (0.125 0.13)
1-6 @ 1.43% (0.034 0.03)
0-6 @ 1.3% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-4 @ 1.14% (0.137 0.14)
Other @ 4.27%
Total : 72.13%

Who will win Wednesday's Women's Super League clash between Aston Villa and Arsenal?

Aston Villa Women
Draw
Arsenal Women
Aston Villa Women
12.5%
Draw
0.0%
Arsenal Women
87.5%
8
Head to Head
Dec 8, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 9
Arsenal
4-0
Aston Villa
Russo (17', 90+4'), Mead (39'), Blackstenius (71')
McCabe (89')

Patten (18')
Mar 24, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
Aston Villa
1-3
Arsenal
Salmon (35')
Daly (87')
Pelova (54'), Wubben-Moy (84'), Blackstenius (86')
Cooney-Cross (90+2')
Oct 15, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 3
Arsenal
2-1
Aston Villa
McCabe (90+2'), Russo (90+4')
Pacheco (25')
Pacheco (43'), Parker (86')
May 27, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 22
Arsenal
0-2
Aston Villa

Taylor (32'), McCabe (86')
Daly (45+2'), Lehmann (49')
Magill (70'), Allen (77'), Hampton (85'), Hanson (90+3')
Dec 11, 2022 4.15pm
Gameweek 10
Aston Villa
1-4
Arsenal
Hanson (6')
Corsie (26' og.), Miedema (30'), McCabe (62'), Nobbs (84')
rhs 2.0
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