MX23RW : Tuesday, April 29 08:11:25| >> :600:254706:254706:
Women's Champions League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 19, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Emirates Stadium

Arsenal
1 - 2
Lyon

Caldentey (78' pen.)
Foord (3'), Little (55')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Diani (17'), Dumornay (82')
Christiane Endler Mutinelli (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's Champions League clash between Arsenal Women and Lyon Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 5-1 Leicester
Tuesday, April 15 at 7.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Lyon 4-1 Bayern Munich
Wednesday, March 26 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Arsenal542.84Russo
2Chelsea492.72Beever-Jones
3Man City402.22Shaw
4Man Utd362.00Terland
5Brighton261.44Kirby
6West Ham251.39Asseyi
7Spurs211.17England
8Aston Villa181.00Daly
9Everton181.00Gago
10Liverpool181.00Smith
11Crystal Palace150.83Blanchard
12Leicester150.79Cayman

We said: Arsenal Women 1-2 Lyon Women

Arsenal will be hoping to make full use of home advantage on Saturday, but we think that they may struggle to stop Lyon's front three of Chawinga, Diani and Dumornay, and with that in mind, we believe that the visitors will do enough to take a narrow lead back to France. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 40.91%. A win for Lyon Women had a probability of 35.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.23%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Lyon Women win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lyon Women in this match.

Result
Arsenal WomenDrawLyon Women
40.91% (4.55 4.55) 23.76% (0.633 0.63) 35.32% (-5.189 -5.19)
Both teams to score 62.12% (-2.61 -2.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.09% (-3.324 -3.32)39.9% (3.318 3.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.73% (-3.531 -3.53)62.27% (3.526 3.53)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.2% (0.69 0.69)19.8% (-0.695 -0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.13% (1.106 1.11)51.87% (-1.113 -1.11)
Lyon Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.46% (-3.957 -3.96)22.53% (3.952 3.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.89% (-6.261 -6.26)56.11% (6.256 6.26)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Women 40.91%
    Lyon Women 35.32%
    Draw 23.75%
Arsenal WomenDrawLyon Women
2-1 @ 8.72% (0.667 0.67)
1-0 @ 7.23% (1.19 1.19)
2-0 @ 5.85% (1.067 1.07)
3-1 @ 4.71% (0.452 0.45)
3-2 @ 3.51% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.16% (0.631 0.63)
4-1 @ 1.91% (0.219 0.22)
4-2 @ 1.42% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.28% (0.278 0.28)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 40.91%
1-1 @ 10.76% (0.61 0.61)
2-2 @ 6.5% (-0.279 -0.28)
0-0 @ 4.46% (0.653 0.65)
3-3 @ 1.74% (-0.266 -0.27)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.75%
1-2 @ 8.02% (-0.526 -0.53)
0-1 @ 6.65% (0.239 0.24)
0-2 @ 4.95% (-0.439 -0.44)
1-3 @ 3.99% (-0.81 -0.81)
2-3 @ 3.23% (-0.574 -0.57)
0-3 @ 2.46% (-0.565 -0.57)
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.533 -0.53)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.397 -0.4)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.356 -0.36)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 35.32%

How you voted: Arsenal vs Lyon

Arsenal Women
84.6%
Draw
15.4%
Lyon Women
0.0%
13
Head to Head
Dec 15, 2022 8pm
Group Stage
Arsenal
0-1
Lyon
Maanum (45+1' og.)
Oct 19, 2022 8pm
Group Stage
Lyon
1-5
Arsenal
Malard (27')
Foord (13', 67'), Maanum (23'), Mead (45+1', 69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool34257280324882
2Arsenal341813363293467
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341951065442162
4Manchester CityMan City34187966432361
5Chelsea34179859401960
6Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest33186953391460
7Aston Villa3416995449557
8Fulham34149115046451
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton34131295655151
10Bournemouth3413111053411250
11Brentford33137135650646
12Crystal Palace341112114347-445
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves34125175161-1041
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd34109153947-839
15Everton34814123441-738
16Tottenham HotspurSpurs34114196256637
17West Ham UnitedWest Ham3499163958-1936
18Ipswich TownIpswich3449213374-4121
19Leicester CityLeicester3446242776-4918
20Southampton3425272580-5511


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