Lyon4 - 1Bayern Munich
Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, March 18 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
We said: Lyon Women 3-1 Bayern Munich Women
Bayern may have to take risks if they are to overturn a two-goal deficit in Wednesday's second leg, but that could leave them vulnerable to Lyon's array of attacking talent, and we ultimately believe that the home side's firepower will prove too strong for the visitors, which is why we expect the record European champions to claim a relatively comfortable victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon Women win with a probability of 64.92%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Bayern Munich Women had a probability of 16.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 1-0 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for a Bayern Munich Women win it was 1-2 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon Women would win this match.
Result | ||
Lyon Women | Draw | Bayern Munich Women |
64.92% (![]() | 18.82% (![]() | 16.25% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.82% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.12% (![]() | 34.87% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.15% (![]() | 56.84% (![]() |
Lyon Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.88% (![]() | 10.11% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.71% (![]() | 33.29% (![]() |
Bayern Munich Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.44% (![]() | 34.55% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.72% (![]() | 71.27% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Lyon Women | Draw | Bayern Munich Women |
2-1 @ 9.75% (![]() 2-0 @ 9.17% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 8.01% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.45% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.01% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.27% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4.01% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.96% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.27% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.95% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.84% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 4.22% Total : 64.92% | 1-1 @ 8.51% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.18% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.49% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.4% ( ![]() Other @ 0.24% Total : 18.82% | 1-2 @ 4.52% (![]() 0-1 @ 3.71% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.97% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.84% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.6% ( ![]() Other @ 2.61% Total : 16.25% |
How you voted: Lyon vs Bayern Munich

Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 80 | 32 | 48 | 82 |
2 | Arsenal | 34 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 63 | 29 | 34 | 67 |
3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 65 | 44 | 21 | 62 |
4 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 66 | 43 | 23 | 61 |
5 | Chelsea | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 59 | 40 | 19 | 60 |
6 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 60 |
7 | Aston Villa | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 57 |
8 | Fulham | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 50 | 46 | 4 | 51 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 56 | 55 | 1 | 51 |
10 | Bournemouth | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 50 |
11 | Brentford | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 56 | 50 | 6 | 46 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 45 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 51 | 61 | -10 | 41 |
14 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 39 |
15 | Everton | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 38 |
16 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 62 | 56 | 6 | 37 |
17 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 39 | 58 | -19 | 36 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 33 | 74 | -41 | 21 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 27 | 76 | -49 | 18 |
20 | Southampton | 34 | 2 | 5 | 27 | 25 | 80 | -55 | 11 |
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