Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Macarthur would win this match.
Result | ||
Macarthur | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
42.01% (![]() | 25.41% (![]() | 32.58% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.49% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.77% (![]() | 48.23% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.62% (![]() | 70.38% (![]() |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.16% (![]() | 22.84% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.43% (![]() | 56.57% (![]() |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.92% (![]() | 28.08% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.26% (![]() | 63.74% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Macarthur | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
1-0 @ 9.47% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.88% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.99% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.37% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.44% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.78% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.61% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.27% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 2.17% Total : 42.01% | 1-1 @ 12.02% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.41% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.64% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 8.15% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.64% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.17% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.23% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.39% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.19% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 2.78% Total : 32.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 54 | 28 | 26 | 48 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 41 |
3 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 35 |
5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 31 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 29 |
7 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 29 |
8 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 28 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
10 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 26 |
11 | Macarthur | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 26 |
12 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 25 |
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