

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 45.93%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Hearts win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hibernian | Draw | Hearts |
| 45.93% ( | 23.06% ( | 31.01% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.06% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62% ( | 38% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.74% ( | 60.26% ( |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.05% ( | 16.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.97% ( | 47.03% ( |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.93% ( | 24.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.66% ( | 58.34% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hibernian | Draw | Hearts |
| 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 1-0 @ 7.24% ( 2-0 @ 6.43% ( 3-1 @ 5.42% ( 3-2 @ 3.86% ( 3-0 @ 3.8% ( 4-1 @ 2.4% ( 4-2 @ 1.71% ( 4-0 @ 1.69% ( Other @ 4.24% Total : 45.93% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( 2-2 @ 6.52% ( 0-0 @ 4.08% ( 3-3 @ 1.83% ( Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.06% | 1-2 @ 7.34% ( 0-1 @ 5.81% ( 0-2 @ 4.14% ( 1-3 @ 3.49% ( 2-3 @ 3.1% ( 0-3 @ 1.97% ( 1-4 @ 1.24% ( 2-4 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.83% Total : 31.01% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Celtic | 33 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 103 | 25 | 78 | 92 |
| 2 | RangersRangers | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 81 | 34 | 47 | 79 |
| 3 | Aberdeen | 33 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 53 |
| 4 | Hearts | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 48 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 44 |
| 6 | St Mirren | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 44 |
| 7 | Livingston | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 42 |
| 8 | Motherwell | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
| 9 | St Johnstone | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 33 |
| 10 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 31 |
| 12 | Ross County | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 27 |
| > Scottish Premiership Full Table | |||||||||
