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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 51.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 22.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
Result | ||
Newport County | Draw | Hartlepool United |
51.92% (![]() | 25.27% (![]() | 22.81% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.71% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.34% (![]() | 53.65% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.85% (![]() | 75.15% (![]() |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.32% (![]() | 20.67% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.73% (![]() | 53.26% (![]() |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.4% (![]() | 38.59% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.66% (![]() | 75.33% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Newport County | Draw | Hartlepool United |
1-0 @ 12.57% (![]() 2-0 @ 9.91% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.44% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.21% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.96% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.36% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.05% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.95% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 2.53% Total : 51.91% | 1-1 @ 11.97% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.98% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.49% ( ![]() Other @ 0.82% Total : 25.26% | 0-1 @ 7.6% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.7% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.62% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.81% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.43% 0-3 @ 1.15% ( ![]() Other @ 1.51% Total : 22.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leyton Orient | 46 | 26 | 13 | 7 | 61 | 34 | 27 | 91 |
2 | Stevenage | 46 | 24 | 13 | 9 | 61 | 39 | 22 | 85 |
P | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 83 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 22 | 13 | 11 | 65 | 37 | 28 | 79 |
5 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 20 | 16 | 10 | 66 | 43 | 23 | 76 |
6 | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 20 | 16 | 10 | 61 | 43 | 18 | 76 |
7 | Salford City | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 72 | 54 | 18 | 75 |
8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 72 | 55 | 17 | 75 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 18 | 8 | 20 | 47 | 53 | -6 | 62 |
10 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 61 | 55 | 6 | 61 |
11 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 61 |
12 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 58 |
13 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 58 |
14 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 58 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53 | 56 | -3 | 57 |
16 | Walsall | 46 | 12 | 19 | 15 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 55 |
17 | Gillingham | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 55 |
18 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 16 | 7 | 23 | 46 | 65 | -19 | 55 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 68 | -9 | 52 |
20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 49 |
21 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 11 | 15 | 20 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 48 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 48 | 71 | -23 | 46 |
R | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 9 | 16 | 21 | 52 | 78 | -26 | 43 |
R | Rochdale | 46 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 46 | 70 | -24 | 38 |
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