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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 47.42%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 24.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Newport County | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
47.42% (![]() | 28.12% (![]() | 24.45% (![]() |
Both teams to score 42.71% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.71% (![]() | 62.29% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.05% (![]() | 81.95% (![]() |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.55% (![]() | 26.45% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.38% (![]() | 61.62% (![]() |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.07% (![]() | 41.93% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.63% (![]() | 78.37% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Newport County | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
1-0 @ 14.74% (![]() 2-0 @ 9.81% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.53% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.35% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.78% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.64% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.45% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.26% ( ![]() Other @ 1.87% Total : 47.41% | 1-1 @ 12.81% (![]() 0-0 @ 11.08% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.71% ( ![]() Other @ 0.51% Total : 28.11% | 0-1 @ 9.64% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.57% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.19% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.61% 0-3 @ 1.21% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 1.15% Total : 24.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
P | Leyton Orient | 42 | 24 | 12 | 6 | 56 | 29 | 27 | 84 |
2 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 43 | 21 | 14 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 77 |
3 | Stevenage | 42 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 76 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 43 | 20 | 12 | 11 | 60 | 36 | 24 | 72 |
5 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 43 | 19 | 15 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 72 |
6 | Bradford CityBradford | 42 | 19 | 14 | 9 | 54 | 36 | 18 | 71 |
7 | Salford City | 43 | 20 | 9 | 14 | 66 | 49 | 17 | 69 |
8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 42 | 19 | 12 | 11 | 67 | 51 | 16 | 69 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 43 | 18 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 48 | -2 | 62 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 43 | 15 | 12 | 16 | 43 | 49 | -6 | 57 |
11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 42 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 53 | 50 | 3 | 55 |
12 | Grimsby Town | 42 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 55 |
13 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 43 | 14 | 12 | 17 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 54 |
14 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 43 | 15 | 7 | 21 | 43 | 60 | -17 | 52 |
15 | Walsall | 43 | 11 | 18 | 14 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 51 |
16 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 41 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 51 |
17 | Gillingham | 43 | 13 | 12 | 18 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 51 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 50 |
19 | AFC Wimbledon | 43 | 11 | 14 | 18 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 47 |
20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 43 | 11 | 13 | 19 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 46 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 42 | 10 | 15 | 17 | 52 | 61 | -9 | 45 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 43 | 10 | 12 | 21 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 42 |
23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 43 | 8 | 15 | 20 | 48 | 74 | -26 | 39 |
24 | Rochdale | 43 | 8 | 10 | 25 | 41 | 67 | -26 | 34 |
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