Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 58.96%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Annecy had a probability of 18.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.16%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for an Annecy win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bastia would win this match.