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National League North | Gameweek 44
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Phillips 66 Community Stadium
Chorley
Leamington
1 - 2
Chorley
Hulbert (88' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sampson (51'), Ustabasi (90+2')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Leamington FC and Chorley.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kettering 3-0 Leamington
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 2-3 Scarborough Ath
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 37.32%. A win for Leamington FC had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Leamington FC win was 1-0 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.

Result
Leamington FCDrawChorley
35.63% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 27.05% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 37.32% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.74% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.42% (0.0020000000000024 0)54.58% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.07%75.92%
Leamington FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.72% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)29.28% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.76% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)65.24% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.74% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)28.25% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.03% (0.011999999999993 0.01)63.96% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Leamington FC 35.62%
    Chorley 37.32%
    Draw 27.05%
Leamington FCDrawChorley
1-0 @ 10.16%
2-1 @ 7.89% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 6.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.23% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.56% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.04%
4-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 35.62%
1-1 @ 12.84%
0-0 @ 8.27% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.99%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 27.05%
0-1 @ 10.45%
1-2 @ 8.12% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 6.61% (0.0029999999999992 0)
1-3 @ 3.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.1%
1-4 @ 1.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 37.32%

Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Leamington
2-1
Chorley
Mooney (1', 13')
Holmes (48')
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Mar 27, 2021 3pm
Jan 12, 2021 7.45pm
Chorley
1-2
Leamington
Shenton (17')
Allen (6'), Turner (80' pen.)
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