

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 47.72%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.86%) and 0-1 (5.73%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Melbourne City | 
| 30.62% (  1.77) | 21.66% (  0.26) | 47.72% (  -2.03) | 
| Both teams to score 68.15% (  0.25) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 68.74% (  -0.17) | 31.26% (  0.18) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 47.31% (  -0.2) | 52.69% (  0.21) | 
| Central Coast Mariners Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 79.02% (  0.93) | 20.98% (  -0.93) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.26% (  1.43) | 53.74% (  -1.43) | 
| Melbourne City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 86.24% (  -0.71) | 13.76% (  0.71) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.95% (  -1.42) | 41.05% (  1.43) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Melbourne City | 
| 2-1 @ 6.98% (  0.27) 1-0 @ 4.51% (  0.17) 3-1 @ 3.63% (  0.24) 3-2 @ 3.6% (  0.15) 2-0 @ 3.52% (  0.23) 3-0 @ 1.83% (  0.16) 4-1 @ 1.42% (  0.13) 4-2 @ 1.41% (  0.09) 4-3 @ 0.93% (  0.04) Other @ 2.79% Total : 30.62% | 1-1 @ 8.94% (  0.1) 2-2 @ 6.92% (  0.09) 0-0 @ 2.89% (  0.03) 3-3 @ 2.38% (  0.04) Other @ 0.52% Total : 21.66% | 1-2 @ 8.87% (  -0.13) 1-3 @ 5.86% (  -0.25) 0-1 @ 5.73% (  -0.1) 0-2 @ 5.68% (  -0.25) 2-3 @ 4.58% (  -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.75% (  -0.27) 1-4 @ 2.91% (  -0.2) 2-4 @ 2.27% (  -0.09) 0-4 @ 1.86% (  -0.19) 3-4 @ 1.18% (  -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.15% (  -0.11) 2-5 @ 0.9% (  -0.06) Other @ 2.98% Total : 47.72% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 61 | 32 | 29 | 55 | 
| 2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 44 | 
| 3 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 42 | 
| 4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 41 | 
| 5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 38 | 
| 6 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 35 | 
| 7 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 32 | 
| 8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 30 | 
| 9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 29 | 
| 10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 29 | 
| 11 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 28 | 
| 12 | Macarthur | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 26 | 
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