Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 42.62%. A win for Western United had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.58%) and 0-2 (5.71%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
Result | ||
Western United | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
34.35% (![]() | 23.03% (![]() | 42.62% (![]() |
Both teams to score 64.63% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.46% (![]() | 36.53% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.32% (![]() | 58.68% (![]() |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.51% (![]() | 21.49% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.46% (![]() | 54.53% (![]() |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.33% (![]() | 17.67% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.7% (![]() | 48.3% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Western United | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
2-1 @ 7.78% (![]() 1-0 @ 5.84% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.49% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.99% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.46% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.3% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.53% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.33% ( ![]() Other @ 3.64% Total : 34.35% | 1-1 @ 10.12% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.74% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.8% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2% ( ![]() Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.03% | 1-2 @ 8.77% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.58% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.71% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.07% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.9% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.3% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.2% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.69% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.43% ( ![]() Other @ 3.99% Total : 42.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 61 | 32 | 29 | 55 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 44 |
3 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 42 |
4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 38 |
6 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 35 |
7 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 32 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 30 |
9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 29 |
11 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 28 |
12 | Macarthur | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 26 |
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