

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 42.62%. A win for Western United had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.58%) and 0-2 (5.71%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Western United | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 34.35% ( | 23.03% ( | 42.62% ( |
| Both teams to score 64.63% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.46% ( | 36.53% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.32% ( | 58.68% ( |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.51% ( | 21.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.46% ( | 54.53% ( |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.33% ( | 17.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.7% ( | 48.3% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Western United | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 2-1 @ 7.78% ( 1-0 @ 5.84% ( 2-0 @ 4.49% ( 3-1 @ 3.99% ( 3-2 @ 3.46% ( 3-0 @ 2.3% ( 4-1 @ 1.53% ( 4-2 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 3.64% Total : 34.35% | 1-1 @ 10.12% ( 2-2 @ 6.74% ( 0-0 @ 3.8% ( 3-3 @ 2% ( Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.03% | 1-2 @ 8.77% ( 0-1 @ 6.58% ( 0-2 @ 5.71% ( 1-3 @ 5.07% ( 2-3 @ 3.9% ( 0-3 @ 3.3% ( 1-4 @ 2.2% ( 2-4 @ 1.69% ( 0-4 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 3.99% Total : 42.62% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 61 | 32 | 29 | 55 |
| 2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 44 |
| 3 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 42 |
| 4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 41 |
| 5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 38 |
| 6 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 35 |
| 7 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 32 |
| 8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 30 |
| 9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 29 |
| 10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 29 |
| 11 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 28 |
| 12 | Macarthur | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 26 |
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