

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 32.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Heerenveen | 
| 32.78% (  -0.05) | 25.08% (  0) | 42.14% (  0.04) | 
| Both teams to score 56.65% (  -0.03) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 53.25% (  -0.03) | 46.74% (  0.03) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 30.99% (  -0.03) | 69.01% (  0.03) | 
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 72.77% (  -0.05) | 27.23% (  0.05) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.34% (  -0.06) | 62.65% (  0.06) | 
| Heerenveen Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.86% (  0.01) | 22.14% (  -0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.47% (  0.01) | 55.52% (  -0.02) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Heerenveen | 
| 1-0 @ 7.84% 2-1 @ 7.69% (  -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.1% (  -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.34% (  -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.51% (  -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.21% (  -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.08% (  -0) Other @ 3% Total : 32.78% | 1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 6.03% (  0.01) 2-2 @ 5.8% (  -0) 3-3 @ 1.26% (  -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 9.09% (  0.01) 1-2 @ 8.92% (  0) 0-2 @ 6.85% (  0.01) 1-3 @ 4.48% (  0) 0-3 @ 3.44% (  0.01) 2-3 @ 2.91% (  -0) 1-4 @ 1.69% (  0) 0-4 @ 1.3% (  0) 2-4 @ 1.1% (  -0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 42.14% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Feyenoord | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 81 | 30 | 51 | 82 | 
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 89 | 40 | 49 | 75 | 
| 3 | Ajax | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 86 | 38 | 48 | 69 | 
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 35 | 33 | 67 | 
| 5 | FC Twente | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 66 | 27 | 39 | 64 | 
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 59 | 
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 54 | 
| 8 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 46 | 
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 41 | 
| 10 | Vitesse | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 40 | 
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 56 | -10 | 40 | 
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 39 | 
| 13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 36 | 
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 42 | 71 | -29 | 36 | 
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 32 | 71 | -39 | 32 | 
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 65 | -32 | 28 | 
| R | Cambuur | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 26 | 69 | -43 | 19 | 
| R | Groningen | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 75 | -44 | 18 | 
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
