Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 76%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Peterhead had a probability of 9.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 3-0 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.11%), while for a Peterhead win it was 1-2 (2.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montrose would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Peterhead |
| 76% ( | 14.03% ( | 9.97% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.27% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.16% ( | 26.84% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.72% ( | 47.28% ( |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.15% ( | 5.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 77.54% ( | 22.46% ( |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.89% ( | 38.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.12% ( | 74.88% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Montrose | Draw | Peterhead |
| 2-0 @ 8.98% ( 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 3-0 @ 8.5% ( 3-1 @ 8.2% ( 1-0 @ 6.33% ( 4-0 @ 6.03% ( 4-1 @ 5.82% ( 3-2 @ 3.96% ( 5-0 @ 3.43% ( 5-1 @ 3.3% ( 4-2 @ 2.81% ( 6-0 @ 1.62% ( 5-2 @ 1.59% ( 6-1 @ 1.56% ( 4-3 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 4.3% Total : 76% | 1-1 @ 6.11% ( 2-2 @ 4.18% ( 0-0 @ 2.23% ( 3-3 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 0.24% Total : 14.03% | 1-2 @ 2.95% ( 0-1 @ 2.15% ( 2-3 @ 1.34% ( 0-2 @ 1.04% ( 1-3 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 1.54% Total : 9.97% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 23 | 12 | 1 | 63 | 21 | 42 | 81 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 67 |
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 82 | 51 | 31 | 60 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 47 | 9 | 57 |
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 59 | 59 | 0 | 54 |
| 6 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 51 |
| 7 | Montrose | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 48 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 39 | 54 | -15 | 40 |
| 9 | Clyde | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 68 | -33 | 24 |
| R | PeterheadPeterhead | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 19 | 84 | -65 | 16 |
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