

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 45.67%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Montrose win was 2-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Falkirk in this match.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Falkirk |
| 30.59% ( | 23.74% ( | 45.67% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.34% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.52% ( | 41.48% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.12% ( | 63.88% ( |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.96% ( | 26.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.92% ( | 61.08% ( |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.59% ( | 18.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.43% ( | 49.57% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Montrose | Draw | Falkirk |
| 2-1 @ 7.35% ( 1-0 @ 6.45% 2-0 @ 4.34% ( 3-1 @ 3.29% ( 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 3-0 @ 1.95% ( 4-1 @ 1.11% ( 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.38% Total : 30.59% | 1-1 @ 10.91% 2-2 @ 6.21% ( 0-0 @ 4.79% ( 3-3 @ 1.57% ( Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.74% | 1-2 @ 9.24% ( 0-1 @ 8.11% ( 0-2 @ 6.86% ( 1-3 @ 5.21% ( 0-3 @ 3.87% ( 2-3 @ 3.51% 1-4 @ 2.2% ( 0-4 @ 1.64% ( 2-4 @ 1.48% Other @ 3.55% Total : 45.67% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 23 | 12 | 1 | 63 | 21 | 42 | 81 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 67 |
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 82 | 51 | 31 | 60 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 47 | 9 | 57 |
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 59 | 59 | 0 | 54 |
| 6 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 51 |
| 7 | Montrose | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 48 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 39 | 54 | -15 | 40 |
| 9 | Clyde | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 68 | -33 | 24 |
| R | PeterheadPeterhead | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 19 | 84 | -65 | 16 |
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