Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 50.58%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 25.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-2 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Falkirk in this match.
| Result | ||
| Falkirk | Draw | Montrose |
| 50.58% ( | 23.58% ( | 25.84% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.25% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.06% ( | 43.94% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.67% ( | 66.32% ( |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.55% ( | 17.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.09% ( | 47.91% ( |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.35% ( | 30.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.1% ( | 66.89% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Falkirk | Draw | Montrose |
| 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 1-0 @ 9.34% ( 2-0 @ 8.15% ( 3-1 @ 5.61% ( 3-0 @ 4.74% ( 3-2 @ 3.32% ( 4-1 @ 2.45% ( 4-0 @ 2.07% ( 4-2 @ 1.45% ( Other @ 3.81% Total : 50.58% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0-0 @ 5.35% ( 3-3 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.58% | 1-2 @ 6.53% ( 0-1 @ 6.32% ( 0-2 @ 3.74% ( 1-3 @ 2.57% ( 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0-3 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 2.96% Total : 25.84% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 32 | 20 | 11 | 1 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 71 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 60 |
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 74 | 44 | 30 | 55 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 51 |
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 50 | 49 | 1 | 48 |
| 6 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 54 | 46 | 8 | 47 |
| 7 | Montrose | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 42 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 36 |
| 9 | Clyde | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 29 | 63 | -34 | 17 |
| 10 | PeterheadPeterhead | 32 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 15 | 76 | -61 | 15 |
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