Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 48.52%. A win for Falkirk had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Falkirk win was 0-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Falkirk | 
| 48.52% (  0.06) | 24.97% (  -0) | 26.51% (  -0.06) | 
| Both teams to score 53.32% (  -0.03) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 50.58% (  -0.02) | 49.41% (  0.02) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 28.54% (  -0.01) | 71.45% (  0.01) | 
| Queen of the South Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 79.6% (  0.02) | 20.39% (  -0.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.18% (  0.03) | 52.82% (  -0.03) | 
| Falkirk Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 66.98% (  -0.05) | 33.02% (  0.05) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.39% (  -0.06) | 69.61% (  0.06) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Queen of the South | Draw | Falkirk | 
| 1-0 @ 10.7% (  0.01) 2-1 @ 9.43% (  0) 2-0 @ 8.51% (  0.02) 3-1 @ 5% (  0) 3-0 @ 4.51% (  0.01) 3-2 @ 2.77% (  -0) 4-1 @ 1.99% (  0) 4-0 @ 1.79% (  0.01) 4-2 @ 1.1% (  0) Other @ 2.71% Total : 48.51% | 1-1 @ 11.86% 0-0 @ 6.73% (  0) 2-2 @ 5.23% (  -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.02% (  -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.96% | 0-1 @ 7.46% (  -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.57% (  -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.13% (  -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.43% (  -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.93% (  -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.53% (  -0.01) Other @ 2.46% Total : 26.51% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 28 | 18 | 9 | 1 | 46 | 16 | 30 | 63 | 
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 56 | 30 | 26 | 54 | 
| 3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 48 | 
| 4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 65 | 43 | 22 | 46 | 
| 5 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 29 | 14 | 4 | 11 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 46 | 
| 6 | Montrose | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 41 | 
| 7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 39 | 
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 33 | 
| 9 | Clyde | 29 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 58 | -30 | 15 | 
| 10 | PeterheadPeterhead | 28 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 13 | 70 | -57 | 12 | 
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