

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 66.18%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 14.85%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 1-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.86%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 1-2 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 66.18% ( | 18.98% ( | 14.85% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.68% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.4% ( | 38.6% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.11% ( | 60.9% ( |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.15% ( | 10.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 65.05% ( | 34.96% ( |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.34% ( | 38.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.6% ( | 75.4% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 2-0 @ 10.34% 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 1-0 @ 9.32% ( 3-0 @ 7.66% ( 3-1 @ 7.28% ( 4-0 @ 4.25% ( 4-1 @ 4.04% ( 3-2 @ 3.46% ( 4-2 @ 1.92% ( 5-0 @ 1.89% ( 5-1 @ 1.8% ( Other @ 4.39% Total : 66.17% | 1-1 @ 8.86% ( 2-2 @ 4.67% 0-0 @ 4.2% ( 3-3 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 18.98% | 1-2 @ 4.21% ( 0-1 @ 3.99% ( 0-2 @ 1.9% ( 2-3 @ 1.48% 1-3 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 1.95% Total : 14.85% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 35 | 22 | 12 | 1 | 61 | 21 | 40 | 78 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 64 |
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 35 | 16 | 9 | 10 | 78 | 50 | 28 | 57 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 35 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 56 | 45 | 11 | 57 |
| 5 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 35 | 15 | 6 | 14 | 59 | 51 | 8 | 51 |
| 6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 35 | 15 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 51 |
| 7 | Montrose | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 48 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 40 |
| 9 | Clyde | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 21 |
| R | PeterheadPeterhead | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 81 | -63 | 16 |
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