Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Falkirk had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Falkirk win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montrose would win this match.
