Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Edinburgh City win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 37.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Edinburgh City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (5.63%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-2 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Montrose |
| 37.83% ( | 24.37% ( | 37.8% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.1% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.36% ( | 42.64% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.95% ( | 65.05% ( |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.53% ( | 22.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.99% ( | 56.01% ( |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.52% ( | 22.48% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.96% ( | 56.04% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Montrose |
| 2-1 @ 8.4% ( 1-0 @ 7.54% ( 2-0 @ 5.63% ( 3-1 @ 4.18% ( 3-2 @ 3.12% ( 3-0 @ 2.8% ( 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 4-0 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.38% Total : 37.83% | 1-1 @ 11.25% ( 2-2 @ 6.27% ( 0-0 @ 5.05% ( 3-3 @ 1.55% ( Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.36% | 1-2 @ 8.4% ( 0-1 @ 7.54% ( 0-2 @ 5.63% ( 1-3 @ 4.18% ( 2-3 @ 3.12% ( 0-3 @ 2.8% ( 1-4 @ 1.56% ( 2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0-4 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.38% Total : 37.8% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 30 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 49 | 17 | 32 | 67 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 56 | 30 | 26 | 56 |
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 71 | 44 | 27 | 52 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 51 |
| 5 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 47 |
| 6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 45 |
| 7 | Montrose | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 42 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 35 |
| 9 | Clyde | 31 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 29 | 63 | -34 | 16 |
| 10 | PeterheadPeterhead | 30 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 14 | 74 | -60 | 12 |
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